Understanding US Inflation: PPI and CPI Release Dates
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases two critical inflation indicators: the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). These indices are crucial for understanding the current state of inflation and its potential impact on the economy and financial markets.
PPI Release Dates
The PPI measures the average change in prices received by domestic producers for their output. It is a leading indicator of inflation and is closely watched by economists and investors. The PPI release dates for 2025 are as follows:
- January 14, 2025
- February 13, 2025
- March 13, 2025
- April 11, 2025
- May 15, 2025
- June 12, 2025
- July 16, 2025
- August 14, 2025
- September 10, 2025
- October 16, 2025
- November 14, 2025
- December 11, 2025
CPI Release Dates
The CPI measures the average change in prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services. It is a key indicator of inflation and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve and other policymakers. The CPI release dates for 2025 are as follows:
- January 15, 2025 (for December 2024)
- February 12, 2025 (for January 2025)
- March 12, 2025 (for February 2025)
- April 10, 2025 (for March 2025)
- May 13, 2025 (for April 2025)
- June 11, 2025 (for May 2025)
- July 15, 2025 (for June 2025)
- August 12, 2025 (for July 2025)
- September 11, 2025 (for August 2025)
- October 15, 2025 (for September 2025)
- November 13, 2025 (for October 2025)
Market Impact Analysis
The release of PPI and CPI data can have a significant impact on financial markets. A higher-than-expected inflation reading can lead to a rise in interest rates, which can negatively impact stock prices and bond yields. On the other hand, a lower-than-expected inflation reading can lead to a decrease in interest rates, which can positively impact stock prices and bond yields.
US Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is a key indicator of the US dollar's value against a basket of six major currencies. A higher-than-expected inflation reading can lead to a rise in the DXY, as investors seek safe-haven assets and higher yields. A lower-than-expected inflation reading can lead to a decrease in the DXY, as investors seek higher-yielding assets and riskier currencies.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, the DXY has been strengthening recently, partly due to positive economic data and a risk-off sentiment in markets. A trendline break has come to fruition, hinting at further US Dollar upside. Based on the rules of a trendline break, the overall target of the breakout is around 107.50, which could come into play on a higher US CPI reading.
Support and Resistance Levels
The DXY has the following support and resistance levels:
- Support: 106.13, 105.63, 105.00
- Resistance: 107.00, 107.50, 108.00
